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Castellón vs Eldense: prediction and statistics
Spain · Segunda · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Castellón · Eldense
Before kick-off
Castellón host Eldense in Segunda on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Castellón are 2nd of 22, Eldense 16th — a gap of 14 places. Castellón are in the top three.
Castellón arrive in excellent form: 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Eldense: 2 wins and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. Counted in points, Castellón took 11 from that stretch and Eldense only 6.
The home record of Castellón (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 25 wins, 12 draws and 11 defeats in 48 matches, 1.9 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Away from home Eldense have 7 wins, 5 draws and 16 defeats in 28 matches, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game.
Draws are a feature of this pairing — 2 in 4 meetings. Last time out (18 May 2025) it ended Castellón 1:1 Eldense. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Castellón: last five matches — D-W-W-D-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Eldense: last five matches — L-W-L-W-L.
- 6 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Castellón — 2, Eldense — 16 (of 22).
Home and away record
Castellón at home and Eldense away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Castellón | Eldense | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 28 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 25-12-11 | 7-5-16 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.5 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Castellón won 2, 2 draws, Eldense won 0. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 18.05.2025: Castellón 1:1 Eldense
- 06.10.2024: Eldense 2:3 Castellón
- 12.02.2023: Castellón 2:0 Eldense
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Castellón should win the corner count: 6.0 expected against 3.5 for Eldense.
- 2 of the 4 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 52% of Castellón home games and 36% of Eldense away games.
- Our model makes Castellón the favourite at 76%; a draw is 16%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.5 corners in the match: Castellón 6.0, Eldense 3.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 48% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 61%, typical match 59%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.3 yellow cards: Castellón 2.1, Eldense 3.3; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 62% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 62%, typical match 58%.
Result
Our model: Castellón win 76%, draw 16%, Eldense win 8%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 38%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Castellón | Eldense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 52% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 36% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 32% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 52% | 46% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 4.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 60% | 54% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.5 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.