Sabadell vs Granada CF: prediction and statistics

Spain · Segunda · 21 November 2026 · kick-off 13:00 UTC

Before kick-off

Sabadell host Granada CF in Segunda on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Granada CF are 7th of 22, Sabadell 13th — a gap of 6 places.

Sabadell are unbeaten in the last 5 matches: 2 wins and 3 draws. Few sides are in better shape than Granada CF right now — 4 wins and 1 defeat from the last 5 games.

Home advantage matters here: Sabadell have 3 wins and 3 draws in 6 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.7 per game. Away from home Granada CF have 18 wins, 9 draws and 22 defeats in 49 matches, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game.

There are no previous meetings between the two sides in the Xpect database.

Form

Sabadell: last five matches — W-W-D-D-D.

9 matches unbeaten · at home
4 matches without a win · all competitions
3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home

Granada CF: last five matches — L-W-W-W-W.

6 wins in a row · all competitions
6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away

Table: Sabadell — 13, Granada CF — 7 (of 22).

Home and away record

Sabadell at home and Granada CF away, 2024/25–2026/27.

	Sabadell	Granada CF
Matches	6	49
Wins · draws · losses	3-3-0	18-9-22
Goals scored per match	1.3	1.3
Goals conceded per match	0.7	1.5

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

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Key facts

Sabadell should win the corner count: 5.3 expected against 3.8 for Granada CF.
Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 33% of Sabadell home games and 55% of Granada CF away games.
Our model sees an open game: Sabadell 34%, draw 27%, Granada CF 40%.

Corners

59%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.0 corners in the match: Sabadell 5.3, Granada CF 3.8. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 42% (typical match — 46%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 59%, typical match 54%.

Yellow cards

56%

Yellow cards over 4.5

Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards: Sabadell 2.4, Granada CF 2.6; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 56% (typical match — 58%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 74%, typical match 75%.

Result

Our model: Sabadell win 34%, draw 27%, Granada CF win 40%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 51%.

Team statistics for three seasons

	Sabadell	Granada CF
Win rate	50%	37%
Over 2.5 goals	33%	55%
Both teams score	50%	53%
Total corners per match	8.0	8.9
Over 9.5 corners	17%	41%
Total yellow cards per match	6.0	5.0
Over 4.5 yellow cards	83%	57%

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.