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Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz: prediction and statistics
Spain · Segunda · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Real Sociedad II · Cadiz
Before kick-off
Segunda, 21 November 2026: Real Sociedad II are at home to Cadiz. They are neighbours in the table: Real Sociedad II are 18th and Cadiz 20th of 22. Cadiz are in the bottom three.
Real Sociedad II are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Results have gone against Cadiz recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. In points that is almost level: 4 against 4.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Real Sociedad II have 8 wins, 10 draws and 10 defeats in 28 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The away record of Cadiz: 9 wins, 16 draws and 22 defeats in 47 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on average.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. The most recent meeting, on 23 February 2026, finished Cadiz 0:2 Real Sociedad II.
Form
Real Sociedad II: last five matches — L-L-L-W-D.
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Cadiz: last five matches — L-D-L-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Real Sociedad II — 18, Cadiz — 20 (of 22).
Home and away record
Real Sociedad II at home and Cadiz away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Real Sociedad II | Cadiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 28 | 47 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 8-10-10 | 9-16-22 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Real Sociedad II won 1, 1 draws, Cadiz won 0. Per match: 4.0 goals.
- 23.02.2026: Cadiz 0:2 Real Sociedad II
- 07.09.2025: Real Sociedad II 3:3 Cadiz
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 45% – 25% – 30%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 46% of Real Sociedad II’s home matches and 55% of Cadiz’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Real Sociedad II: 5.3 against 4.0 for Cadiz.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.3 corners in the match: Real Sociedad II 5.3, Cadiz 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 45% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards: Real Sociedad II 2.4, Cadiz 2.8; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 59% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 59%, typical match 58%.
Result
Our model: Real Sociedad II win 45%, draw 25%, Cadiz win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 55%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Real Sociedad II | Cadiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 29% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 55% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | 8.7 | 9.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 43% | 47% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 6.1 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 75% | 47% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.5 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.