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CFR 1907 Cluj vs Oţelul: prediction and statistics

Romania · Liga I · 21 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

Liga I, 21 November 2026: CFR 1907 Cluj are at home to Oţelul. CFR 1907 Cluj go into the match 9th of 16 in the table, Oţelul are 14th. Oţelul are in the bottom three.

An uneven run for CFR 1907 Cluj: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Oţelul are still looking for a win: 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches.

CFR 1907 Cluj are hard to beat on their own ground — 26 wins, 14 draws and 7 defeats in 47 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), with 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. The away record of Oţelul: 13 wins, 12 draws and 21 defeats in 46 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded on average.

Head to head there is no clear master over 7 meetings — wins: CFR 1907 Cluj 3, Oţelul 2; draws: 2. The most recent meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Oţelul 2:1 CFR 1907 Cluj. On average these meetings produce 2.7 goals.

Form

CFR 1907 Cluj: last five matches — W-L-D-L-D.

Oţelul: last five matches — D-L-L-L-D.

Table: CFR 1907 Cluj — 9, Oţelul — 14 (of 16).

Home and away record

CFR 1907 Cluj at home and Oţelul away, 2024/25–2026/27.

CFR 1907 ClujOţelul
Matches4746
Wins · draws · losses26-14-713-12-21
Goals scored per match1.91.1
Goals conceded per match1.11.2

Head to head

7 meetings in our database: CFR 1907 Cluj won 3, 2 draws, Oţelul won 2. Per match: 2.7 goals.

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Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • CFR 1907 Cluj is the more likely winner in our model: 62%, draw 22%.
  • Over 2.5 goals happened in 55% of CFR 1907 Cluj’s home matches and 37% of Oţelul’s away matches over three seasons.

Corners

59%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.0 corners in the match: CFR 1907 Cluj 4.8, Oţelul 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 41% (typical match — 44%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 59%, typical match 56%.

Yellow cards

62%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: CFR 1907 Cluj 2.0, Oţelul 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 38% (typical match — 52%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 62%, typical match 48%.

Result

Our model: CFR 1907 Cluj win 62%, draw 22%, Oţelul win 16%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 50%.

Team statistics for three seasons

CFR 1907 ClujOţelul
Win rate55%28%
Over 2.5 goals55%37%
Both teams score57%35%
Total corners per match8.79.2
Over 9.5 corners41%44%
Total yellow cards per match4.03.9
Over 4.5 yellow cards36%33%

Head to head

Corners in their meetings: 8.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.3 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Other matches

Full prediction