Xpect
Dinamo Bucuresti vs Petrolul Ploiesti: prediction and statistics
Romania · Liga I · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Dinamo Bucuresti · Petrolul Ploiesti
Before kick-off
Liga I, 21 November 2026: Dinamo Bucuresti are at home to Petrolul Ploiesti. They are neighbours in the table: Dinamo Bucuresti are 2nd and Petrolul Ploiesti 4th of 16. Dinamo Bucuresti are part of the leading group.
Few sides are in better shape than Dinamo Bucuresti right now — 5 wins from the last 5 games. Petrolul Ploiesti have been solid lately: 3 wins and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 15 for Dinamo Bucuresti against 9 for Petrolul Ploiesti.
Dinamo Bucuresti are hard to beat on their own ground — 26 wins, 14 draws and 8 defeats in 48 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), with 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. The away record of Petrolul Ploiesti: 12 wins, 17 draws and 18 defeats in 47 matches, with 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average.
This fixture often ends level: 5 of the 11 meetings in the Xpect database were draws. The most recent meeting, on 19 July 2026, finished Petrolul Ploiesti 1:0 Dinamo Bucuresti. On average these meetings produce 2.2 goals.
Form
Dinamo Bucuresti: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 8 wins in a row · at home
- 8 matches unbeaten · at home
Petrolul Ploiesti: last five matches — L-L-W-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · away
Table: Dinamo Bucuresti — 2, Petrolul Ploiesti — 4 (of 16).
Home and away record
Dinamo Bucuresti at home and Petrolul Ploiesti away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Dinamo Bucuresti | Petrolul Ploiesti | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 47 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 26-14-8 | 12-17-18 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
Head to head
11 meetings in our database: Dinamo Bucuresti won 4, 5 draws, Petrolul Ploiesti won 2. Per match: 2.2 goals.
- 19.07.2026: Petrolul Ploiesti 1:0 Dinamo Bucuresti
- 30.01.2026: Dinamo Bucuresti 1:1 Petrolul Ploiesti
- 15.09.2025: Petrolul Ploiesti 0:3 Dinamo Bucuresti
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Draws are common in this fixture: 5 of 11 meetings.
- Our model expects more corners from Dinamo Bucuresti: 6.3 against 3.1 for Petrolul Ploiesti.
- Dinamo Bucuresti is the more likely winner in our model: 70%, draw 18%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 38% of Dinamo Bucuresti’s home matches and 34% of Petrolul Ploiesti’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Dinamo Bucuresti 6.3, Petrolul Ploiesti 3.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 60%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.2 yellow cards: Dinamo Bucuresti 2.4, Petrolul Ploiesti 2.7; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 59% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 59%, typical match 52%.
Result
Our model: Dinamo Bucuresti win 70%, draw 18%, Petrolul Ploiesti win 12%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 51%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Dinamo Bucuresti | Petrolul Ploiesti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 54% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 34% |
| Both teams score | 46% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | 9.5 | 9.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 38% | 52% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 48% | 45% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.1 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.1 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.