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Club Tijuana vs Atlante FC: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Club Tijuana · Atlante FC
Before kick-off
Liga MX, 21 November 2026: Club Tijuana are at home to Atlante FC. Club Tijuana sit 9th in the 18-team table while Atlante FC are 16th, so 7 places separate the two sides. Atlante FC are in the bottom three.
An uneven run for Club Tijuana: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Atlante FC have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Club Tijuana have 25 wins, 13 draws and 9 defeats in 47 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. The away record of Atlante FC: 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats in 8 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded on average.
There are no previous meetings between the two sides in the Xpect database.
Form
Club Tijuana: last five matches — W-L-L-D-W.
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Atlante FC: last five matches — D-D-L-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Club Tijuana — 9, Atlante FC — 16 (of 18).
Home and away record
Club Tijuana at home and Atlante FC away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Club Tijuana | Atlante FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 47 | 8 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 25-13-9 | 2-2-4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.8 |
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 66% of Club Tijuana’s home matches and 38% of Atlante FC’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Atlante FC: 5.6 against 4.5 for Club Tijuana.
- Club Tijuana is the more likely winner in our model: 64%, draw 21%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Club Tijuana 4.5, Atlante FC 5.6. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Club Tijuana 1.8, Atlante FC 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 63%, typical match 53%.
Result
Our model: Club Tijuana win 64%, draw 21%, Atlante FC win 15%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 50%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Club Tijuana | Atlante FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 53% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 38% |
| Both teams score | 62% | 63% |
| Total corners per match | 9.5 | 12.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 45% | 75% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.4 | 3.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 30% | 25% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.