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FC Juarez vs Atlas: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Before kick-off
FC Juarez host Atlas in Liga MX on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Atlas are 5th of 18, FC Juarez 18th — a gap of 13 places. FC Juarez are in the bottom three.
FC Juarez have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Few sides are in better shape than Atlas right now — 4 wins and 1 defeat from the last 5 games. Counted in points, Atlas took 12 from that stretch and FC Juarez only 7.
The home record of FC Juarez (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 15 wins, 11 draws and 19 defeats in 45 matches, 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Away from home Atlas have 15 wins, 9 draws and 20 defeats in 44 matches, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.7 per game.
History favours Atlas — 8 wins from 13 meetings with FC Juarez. Last time out (28 February 2026) it ended FC Juarez 3:1 Atlas. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
FC Juarez: last five matches — L-W-D-L-W.
- 6 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Atlas: last five matches — W-L-W-W-W.
- 9 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
Table: FC Juarez — 18, Atlas — 5 (of 18).
Home and away record
FC Juarez at home and Atlas away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| FC Juarez | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 44 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 15-11-19 | 15-9-20 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.7 |
Head to head
13 meetings in our database: FC Juarez won 2, 3 draws, Atlas won 8. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 28.02.2026: FC Juarez 3:1 Atlas
- 04.10.2025: Atlas 3:1 FC Juarez
- 05.04.2025: Atlas 1:1 FC Juarez
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Atlas has won 8 of the last 13 meetings with FC Juarez.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 58% of FC Juarez home games and 50% of Atlas away games.
- Our model sees an open game: FC Juarez 39%, draw 25%, Atlas 36%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: FC Juarez 5.0, Atlas 5.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 57%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: FC Juarez 2.1, Atlas 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 56%, typical match 53%.
Result
Our model: FC Juarez win 39%, draw 25%, Atlas win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 59%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| FC Juarez | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 9.2 | 9.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 44% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 47% | 46% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.8 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.2 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.