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Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys: prediction and statistics
Peru · Primera División · 15 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Comerciantes Unidos · Sport Boys
Before kick-off
Comerciantes Unidos host Sport Boys in Primera División on 15 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Comerciantes Unidos are 13th, Sport Boys 11th in a table of 18.
Comerciantes Unidos have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Sport Boys: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 5 and 5.
The home record of Comerciantes Unidos (2024–2026) is balanced: 16 wins, 21 draws and 14 defeats in 51 matches, 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Sport Boys find it hard on the road: 7 wins, 12 draws and 31 defeats in 50 away matches, 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
The 8 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Comerciantes Unidos 2, Sport Boys 3, draws 3. Last time out (30 May 2026) it ended Sport Boys 1:0 Comerciantes Unidos. On average these meetings produce 2.0 goals.
Form
Comerciantes Unidos: last five matches — L-L-D-W-D.
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Sport Boys: last five matches — D-L-L-W-D.
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Comerciantes Unidos — 13, Sport Boys — 11 (of 18).
Home and away record
Comerciantes Unidos at home and Sport Boys away, 2024–2026.
| Comerciantes Unidos | Sport Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 50 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 16-21-14 | 7-12-31 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Comerciantes Unidos won 2, 3 draws, Sport Boys won 3. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 30.05.2026: Sport Boys 1:0 Comerciantes Unidos
- 13.09.2025: Sport Boys 0:1 Comerciantes Unidos
- 13.04.2025: Comerciantes Unidos 0:4 Sport Boys
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 43% of Comerciantes Unidos home games and 52% of Sport Boys away games.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: Comerciantes Unidos 5.0, Sport Boys 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.7. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 44% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 56%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Comerciantes Unidos 2.1, Sport Boys 2.8; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 72%, typical match 75%.
Result
Our model: Comerciantes Unidos win 46%, draw 26%, Sport Boys win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 50%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Comerciantes Unidos | Sport Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 31% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 52% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 42% |
| Total corners per match | 8.4 | 9.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 33% | 52% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 49% | 62% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 6.9 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.