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CS Hammam-Lif vs ES Metlaoui: prediction and statistics
Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: CS Hammam-Lif · ES Metlaoui
Before kick-off
Ligue 1, 20 November 2026: CS Hammam-Lif are at home to ES Metlaoui. They are neighbours in the table: CS Hammam-Lif are 14th and ES Metlaoui 13th of 16. CS Hammam-Lif are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
An uneven run for CS Hammam-Lif: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Results have gone against ES Metlaoui recently — 1 win and 4 defeats from the last 5 games.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) CS Hammam-Lif have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 6 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Trips have rarely paid off for ES Metlaoui — 6 wins, 8 draws and 19 defeats in 33 away matches, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.3 on average. Both samples are low on goals: 1.7 per game in home matches of CS Hammam-Lif and 1.9 in away matches of ES Metlaoui.
This fixture often ends level: 8 of the 14 meetings in the Xpect database were draws. The most recent meeting, on 10 April 2022, finished CS Hammam-Lif 0:0 ES Metlaoui. On average these meetings produce 1.9 goals.
Form
CS Hammam-Lif: last five matches — W-W-L-L-D.
- 7 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
ES Metlaoui: last five matches — W-L-L-L-L.
- 10 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · away
- 4 matches without a win · away
Table: CS Hammam-Lif — 14, ES Metlaoui — 13 (of 16).
Home and away record
CS Hammam-Lif at home and ES Metlaoui away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| CS Hammam-Lif | ES Metlaoui | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 33 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 2-2-2 | 6-8-19 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
Head to head
14 meetings in our database: CS Hammam-Lif won 2, 8 draws, ES Metlaoui won 4. Per match: 1.9 goals.
- 10.04.2022: CS Hammam-Lif 0:0 ES Metlaoui
- 18.11.2021: ES Metlaoui 2:2 CS Hammam-Lif
- 22.08.2020: ES Metlaoui 1:1 CS Hammam-Lif
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 17% of CS Hammam-Lif’s home matches and 27% of ES Metlaoui’s away matches over three seasons.
- Draws are common in this fixture: 8 of 14 meetings.
Result
Our model: CS Hammam-Lif win 46%, draw 31%, ES Metlaoui win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 35%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| CS Hammam-Lif | ES Metlaoui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% | 27% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 27% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.3 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 30% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.