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Deportivo Cali vs Junior: prediction and statistics
Colombia · Primera A · 19 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Deportivo Cali 5.5, Junior 3.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 60%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 6.0 yellow cards: Deportivo Cali 2.7, Junior 3.3; typical match of the competition — 5.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 71% (typical match — 67%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 71%, typical match 67%.
Result
Our model: Deportivo Cali win 58%, draw 23%, Junior win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 49%.
Form
Deportivo Cali: last five matches — D-D-W-W-W.
- 12 matches unbeaten · at home
- 6 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
- 3 wins in a row · at home
Junior: last five matches — L-L-W-L-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Deportivo Cali — 6, Junior — 5 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Deportivo Cali at home and Junior away, 2024–2026.
| Deportivo Cali | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 55 | 70 |
| Win rate | 42% | 26% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 39% |
| Both teams score | 42% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | 8.8 | 9.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 35% | 38% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 6.4 | 5.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 73% | 61% |
Head to head
28 meetings in our database: Deportivo Cali won 8, 7 draws, Junior won 13. Per match: 2.3 goals, 8.5 corners, 6.1 yellow cards.
- 04.04.2026: Junior 1:2 Deportivo Cali
- 13.07.2025: Deportivo Cali 0:2 Junior
- 26.01.2025: Junior 0:0 Deportivo Cali
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Deportivo Cali vs Junior?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 47%.
How many yellow cards in Deportivo Cali vs Junior?
Our model expects 6.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 71%.
Who is more likely to win Deportivo Cali vs Junior?
Our model: Deportivo Cali 58%, draw 23%, Junior 19%.