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Deportivo Pereira vs Chico: prediction and statistics
Colombia · Primera A · 20 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Deportivo Pereira · Chico
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.6 corners in the match: Deportivo Pereira 4.0, Chico 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 35% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 8.5 — 52%, typical match 44%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.4 yellow cards: Deportivo Pereira 2.6, Chico 2.8; typical match of the competition — 5.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 62% (typical match — 67%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 78%, typical match 82%.
Result
Our model: Deportivo Pereira win 42%, draw 28%, Chico win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
Deportivo Pereira: last five matches — D-L-D-L-D.
- 9 matches without a win · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
Chico: last five matches — L-L-D-L-D.
- 19 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Deportivo Pereira — 20, Chico — 18 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Deportivo Pereira at home and Chico away, 2024–2026.
| Deportivo Pereira | Chico | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 57 | 55 |
| Win rate | 37% | 7% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 55% |
| Both teams score | 46% | 35% |
| Total corners per match | 9.2 | 8.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 49% | 40% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 6.2 | 5.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 74% | 55% |
Head to head
17 meetings in our database: Deportivo Pereira won 7, 7 draws, Chico won 3. Per match: 1.7 goals, 10.0 corners, 3.8 yellow cards.
- 02.04.2026: Chico 1:0 Deportivo Pereira
- 22.09.2025: Chico 1:1 Deportivo Pereira
- 06.04.2025: Deportivo Pereira 1:1 Chico
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Deportivo Pereira vs Chico?
Our model expects 8.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 35%.
How many yellow cards in Deportivo Pereira vs Chico?
Our model expects 5.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 62%.
Who is more likely to win Deportivo Pereira vs Chico?
Our model: Deportivo Pereira 42%, draw 28%, Chico 30%.