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Dewa United vs Persita: prediction and statistics
Indonesia · Liga 1 · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Dewa United · Persita
Before kick-off
Liga 1, 20 November 2026: Dewa United are at home to Persita. Dewa United go into the match 2nd of 18 in the table, Persita are 6th. Dewa United are part of the leading group.
Recent results of Dewa United are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Persita have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches.
Dewa United are hard to beat on their own ground — 23 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats in 38 home matches (2024–2026), with 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. The away record of Persita: 11 wins, 9 draws and 17 defeats in 37 matches, with 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded on average.
Head to head, Dewa United have the upper hand: 6 wins in 9 meetings with Persita in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 26 February 2026, finished Persita 0:1 Dewa United. On average these meetings produce 2.7 goals.
Form
Dewa United: last five matches — L-D-W-W-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Persita: last five matches — L-D-D-D-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · away
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Dewa United — 2, Persita — 6 (of 18).
Home and away record
Dewa United at home and Persita away, 2024–2026.
| Dewa United | Persita | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 38 | 37 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 23-6-9 | 11-9-17 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: Dewa United won 6, 0 draws, Persita won 3. Per match: 2.7 goals.
- 26.02.2026: Persita 0:1 Dewa United
- 29.11.2025: Dewa United 1:0 Persita
- 09.05.2025: Dewa United 3:0 Persita
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 55% of Dewa United’s home matches and 35% of Persita’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Dewa United: 6 wins in 9 meetings with Persita.
- Dewa United is the more likely winner in our model: 57%, draw 24%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Dewa United 2.3, Persita 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 50% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 68%, typical match 65%.
Result
Our model: Dewa United win 57%, draw 24%, Persita win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 47%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Dewa United | Persita | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 61% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 35% |
| Both teams score | 53% | 43% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 37% | 32% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.