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Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi: prediction and statistics
Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Dinamo Tbilisi · Torpedo Kutaisi
Before kick-off
Erovnuli Liga, 20 November 2026: Dinamo Tbilisi are at home to Torpedo Kutaisi. They are neighbours in the table: Dinamo Tbilisi are 3rd and Torpedo Kutaisi 5th of 10. Dinamo Tbilisi are part of the leading group.
Few sides are in better shape than Dinamo Tbilisi right now — 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games. Torpedo Kutaisi have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 11 for Dinamo Tbilisi against 5 for Torpedo Kutaisi.
At home (2024–2026) Dinamo Tbilisi have 23 wins, 16 draws and 13 defeats in 52 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The away record of Torpedo Kutaisi: 18 wins, 18 draws and 16 defeats in 52 matches, with 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 45 meetings — wins: Dinamo Tbilisi 22, Torpedo Kutaisi 8; draws: 15. The most recent meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Torpedo Kutaisi 1:1 Dinamo Tbilisi. On average these meetings produce 2.1 goals.
Form
Dinamo Tbilisi: last five matches — W-D-W-W-D.
- 6 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Torpedo Kutaisi: last five matches — D-L-D-L-W.
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Dinamo Tbilisi — 3, Torpedo Kutaisi — 5 (of 10).
Home and away record
Dinamo Tbilisi at home and Torpedo Kutaisi away, 2024–2026.
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Torpedo Kutaisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 52 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 23-16-13 | 18-18-16 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Head to head
45 meetings in our database: Dinamo Tbilisi won 22, 15 draws, Torpedo Kutaisi won 8. Per match: 2.1 goals.
- 06.09.2026: Torpedo Kutaisi 1:1 Dinamo Tbilisi
- 24.05.2026: Dinamo Tbilisi 0:1 Torpedo Kutaisi
- 07.04.2026: Torpedo Kutaisi 0:0 Dinamo Tbilisi
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 48% of Dinamo Tbilisi’s home matches and 56% of Torpedo Kutaisi’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Dinamo Tbilisi: 5.5 against 3.6 for Torpedo Kutaisi.
- Dinamo Tbilisi is the more likely winner in our model: 59%, draw 21%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: Dinamo Tbilisi 5.5, Torpedo Kutaisi 3.6. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 44% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 57%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Dinamo Tbilisi 2.1, Torpedo Kutaisi 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 57%, typical match 56%.
Result
Our model: Dinamo Tbilisi win 59%, draw 21%, Torpedo Kutaisi win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 59%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Torpedo Kutaisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 44% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 64% |
| Total corners per match | 8.9 | 9.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 25% | 44% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 54% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.