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Ekhaya vs CIVO United: prediction and statistics
Malawi · Super League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Ekhaya · CIVO United
Before kick-off
Ekhaya host CIVO United in Super League on 21 November 2026. In the standings Ekhaya are 6th and CIVO United 11th out of 16 teams.
Ekhaya are unbeaten in the last 5 matches: 2 wins and 3 draws. An uneven run for CIVO United: 2 wins and 3 defeats from the last 5 games.
Home advantage matters here: Ekhaya have 14 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats in 24 home matches (2024–2026), scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.5 per game. Away from home CIVO United have 13 wins, 10 draws and 17 defeats in 40 matches, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.0 per game. Both samples are low on goals: 1.9 per game in home matches of Ekhaya and 1.9 in away matches of CIVO United.
History favours CIVO United — 2 wins from 3 meetings with Ekhaya. Last time out (9 May 2026) it ended CIVO United 1:0 Ekhaya. On average these meetings produce 1.0 goals.
Form
Ekhaya: last five matches — D-D-D-W-W.
- 9 matches unbeaten · at home
CIVO United: last five matches — L-W-W-L-L.
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
Table: Ekhaya — 6, CIVO United — 11 (of 16).
Home and away record
Ekhaya at home and CIVO United away, 2024–2026.
| Ekhaya | CIVO United | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 24 | 40 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 14-5-5 | 13-10-17 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Ekhaya won 1, 0 draws, CIVO United won 2. Per match: 1.0 goals.
- 09.05.2026: CIVO United 1:0 Ekhaya
- 27.08.2025: CIVO United 1:0 Ekhaya
- 14.04.2025: Ekhaya 1:0 CIVO United
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- CIVO United has won 2 of the last 3 meetings with Ekhaya.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 29% of Ekhaya home games and 30% of CIVO United away games.
Result
Our model: Ekhaya win 45%, draw 30%, CIVO United win 25%. Over 2.5 goals — 32%, both teams to score — 38%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Ekhaya | CIVO United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 58% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 30% |
| Both teams score | 29% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 0% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.