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Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi: prediction and statistics

Argentina · Liga Profesional · 18 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

53%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 5.4, Aldosivi 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 47%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 54%, typical match 53%.

Yellow cards

52%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1.9, Aldosivi 2.7; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 48% (typical match — 57%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 52%, typical match 43%.

Result

Our model: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win 34%, draw 32%, Aldosivi win 34%. Over 2.5 goals — 30%, both teams to score — 38%.

Form

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: last five matches — D-L-D-L-L.

Aldosivi: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.

Table: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — 30, Aldosivi — 29 (of 30).

Team statistics for three seasons

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at home and Aldosivi away, 2024–2026.

Estudiantes de Rio CuartoAldosivi
Matches1430
Win rate14%13%
Goals scored per match0.40.7
Goals conceded per match1.11.5
Over 2.5 goals21%30%
Both teams score21%33%
Total corners per match9.69.0
Over 9.5 corners57%40%
Total yellow cards per match3.94.6
Over 4.5 yellow cards21%63%

Head to head

3 meetings in our database: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto won 0, 3 draws, Aldosivi won 0. Per match: 2.0 goals, 16.0 corners, 4.7 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi?

Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 47%.

How many yellow cards in Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi?

Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 48%.

Who is more likely to win Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi?

Our model: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 34%, draw 32%, Aldosivi 34%.

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