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FC Cologne vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and statistics
Germany · Bundesliga · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: FC Cologne 5.2, Borussia Mönchengladbach 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.7. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 50%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 54%, typical match 50%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: FC Cologne 1.9, Borussia Mönchengladbach 2.3; typical match of the competition — 3.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 40% (typical match — 35%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 60%, typical match 55%.
Result
Market line without margin: FC Cologne win 48%, draw 24%, Borussia Mönchengladbach win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
FC Cologne: last five matches — L-D-W-W-D.
- 11 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Borussia Mönchengladbach: last five matches — W-L-L-W-D.
Table: FC Cologne — 13, Borussia Mönchengladbach — 18 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
FC Cologne at home and Borussia Mönchengladbach away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| FC Cologne | Borussia Mönchengladbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 19 | 36 |
| Win rate | 32% | 25% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% | 61% |
| Both teams score | 90% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | 9.9 | 9.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 47% | 53% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 37% | 25% |
Head to head
44 meetings in our database: FC Cologne won 12, 7 draws, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 25. Per match: 3.1 goals, 9.8 corners, 4.4 yellow cards.
- 21.03.2026: FC Cologne 3:3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
- 08.11.2025: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:1 FC Cologne
- 09.03.2024: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:3 FC Cologne
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in FC Cologne vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.
How many yellow cards in FC Cologne vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 40%.
Who is more likely to win FC Cologne vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Market line without margin: FC Cologne 48%, draw 24%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 27%.