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FC Juarez vs Atlante FC: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 21 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: FC Juarez · Atlante FC
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: FC Juarez 4.5, Atlante FC 5.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 54% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 54%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: FC Juarez 2.0, Atlante FC 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 38% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 62%, typical match 53%.
Result
Our model: FC Juarez win 46%, draw 24%, Atlante FC win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 60%.
Form
FC Juarez: last five matches — L-L-L-W-D.
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
Atlante FC: last five matches — L-L-D-D-L.
- 6 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: FC Juarez — 18, Atlante FC — 16 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
FC Juarez at home and Atlante FC away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| FC Juarez | Atlante FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 43 | 6 |
| Win rate | 33% | 17% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 9.0 | 11.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 42% | 67% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 3.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 47% | 17% |
Head to head
7 meetings in our database: FC Juarez won 2, 1 draws, Atlante FC won 4. Per match: 2.7 goals.
- 28.06.2026: FC Juarez 2:0 Atlante FC
- 07.04.2019: Atlante FC 2:1 FC Juarez
- 04.11.2018: FC Juarez 2:3 Atlante FC
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in FC Juarez vs Atlante FC?
Our model expects 10.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 54%.
How many yellow cards in FC Juarez vs Atlante FC?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 38%.
Who is more likely to win FC Juarez vs Atlante FC?
Our model: FC Juarez 46%, draw 24%, Atlante FC 31%.