Xpect
Leon vs Club America: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Leon 5.2, Club America 4.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: Leon 2.1, Club America 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 40% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 60%, typical match 53%.
Form
Leon: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 6 wins in a row · at home
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Club America: last five matches — W-L-L-W-L.
Table: Leon — 5, Club America — 1 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Leon at home and Club America away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Leon | Club America | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 48 |
| Win rate | 45% | 38% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 48% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | 9.4 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 48% | 51% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 38% |
Head to head
25 meetings in our database: Leon won 8, 8 draws, Club America won 9. Per match: 2.6 goals, 9.4 corners, 5.3 yellow cards.
- 06.09.2026: Leon 1:0 Club America
- 22.04.2026: Leon 2:3 Club America
- 02.11.2025: Club America 2:0 Leon
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Leon vs Club America?
Our model expects 10.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 55%.
How many yellow cards in Leon vs Club America?
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 40%.