Xpect
FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC: prediction and statistics
Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.9 corners in the match: FC St. Pauli 5.3, Karlsruher SC 4.7. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 53% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 59%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: FC St. Pauli 1.6, Karlsruher SC 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 32% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 69%, typical match 55%.
Form
FC St. Pauli: last five matches — W-D-D-L-W.
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Karlsruher SC: last five matches — L-D-W-D-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: FC St. Pauli — 8, Karlsruher SC — 14 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
FC St. Pauli at home and Karlsruher SC away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| FC St. Pauli | Karlsruher SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 36 |
| Win rate | 33% | 22% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 75% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 61% |
| Total corners per match | 11.3 | 9.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 67% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 42% |
Head to head
25 meetings in our database: FC St. Pauli won 8, 9 draws, Karlsruher SC won 8. Per match: 3.2 goals, 9.6 corners, 3.6 yellow cards.
- 20.07.2025: FC St. Pauli 6:1 Karlsruher SC
- 06.04.2024: Karlsruher SC 2:1 FC St. Pauli
- 28.10.2023: FC St. Pauli 2:1 Karlsruher SC
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?
Our model expects 9.9 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 53%.
How many yellow cards in FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 32%.