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VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and statistics
Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: VfL Bochum 5.0, Arminia Bielefeld 5.1. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 56%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: VfL Bochum 2.6, Arminia Bielefeld 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 50% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 50%, typical match 45%.
Form
VfL Bochum: last five matches — D-L-L-D-W.
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Arminia Bielefeld: last five matches — L-L-D-L-L.
- 8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: VfL Bochum — 9, Arminia Bielefeld — 13 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
VfL Bochum at home and Arminia Bielefeld away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| VfL Bochum | Arminia Bielefeld | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 20 | 20 |
| Win rate | 40% | 15% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 65% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 10.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 45% | 65% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.5 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 65% | 55% |
Head to head
15 meetings in our database: VfL Bochum won 3, 5 draws, Arminia Bielefeld won 7. Per match: 2.9 goals, 9.9 corners, 4.1 yellow cards.
- 02.05.2026: Arminia Bielefeld 1:1 VfL Bochum
- 06.12.2025: VfL Bochum 1:0 Arminia Bielefeld
- 12.08.2023: Arminia Bielefeld 6:3 VfL Bochum
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Our model expects 10.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 56%.
How many yellow cards in VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 50%.