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Fenerbahce vs Slavia Prague: prediction and statistics
Europe · Champions League · 20 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Fenerbahce · Slavia Prague
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Fenerbahce 6.1, Slavia Prague 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 58%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Fenerbahce 2.4, Slavia Prague 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 54%, typical match 43%.
Result
Our model: Fenerbahce win 60%, draw 21%, Slavia Prague win 18%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 55%.
European cups
Seasons 2025/26 and 2026/27 — the new format
Fenerbahce
All 21: 9W · 7D · 5L · goals 27:20
Home 11: 5W · 4D · 2L · goals 14:10
- 10.09.26 · UCL · AS Roma (h) 1:1
- 26.08.26 · UCL · Lyon (a) 2:1
- 18.08.26 · UCL · Lyon (h) 1:1
- 11.08.26 · UCL · Sturm Graz (a) 1:0
- 05.08.26 · UCL · Sturm Graz (h) 2:0
League · Süper Lig 2026/27: 4 of 18 · 4W · 1D · 2L · goals 19:6. Türkiye — 9 in the UEFA country ranking (coefficient 50.3).
Slavia Prague
All 9: 0W · 3D · 6L · goals 7:22
Away 4: 0W · 1D · 3L · goals 1:10
- 10.09.26 · UCL · Lens (h) 2:3
- 28.01.26 · UCL · Pafos (a) 1:4
- 21.01.26 · UCL · Barcelona (h) 2:4
- 09.12.25 · UCL · Tottenham (a) 0:3
- 25.11.25 · UCL · Athletic Club (h) 0:0
League · Czech Liga 2026/27: 1 of 16 · 8W · 2D · 0L · goals 26:6. Czechia — 10 in the UEFA country ranking (coefficient 45.1).
UCL: league phase 2026/27: Fenerbahce — 17 of 36 · 1 pts · 1 played; Slavia Prague — 23 of 36 · 0 pts · 1 played.
Head to head in Europe
- 28.11.24 · UEL · Slavia Praha 1:2 Fenerbahçe
- 24.02.22 · UECL · Slavia Praha 3:2 Fenerbahçe
- 17.02.22 · UECL · Fenerbahçe 2:3 Slavia Praha
Champions League, Europa League and Conference League, qualifiers included — the two seasons of the new format. Corners and cards from matches where they are recorded.
Form
Fenerbahce: last five matches — D-W-L-D-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
Slavia Prague: last five matches — D-W-W-W-W.
- 8 matches unbeaten · away
- 4 wins in a row · away
Team statistics for three seasons
Fenerbahce at home and Slavia Prague away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Fenerbahce | Slavia Prague | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 6 |
| Win rate | 50% | 17% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 63% | 17% |
| Total corners per match | 7.8 | 9.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 38% | 60% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 50% |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Fenerbahce won 1, 0 draws, Slavia Prague won 2. Per match: 4.3 goals, 8.3 corners, 6.0 yellow cards.
- 28.11.2024: Slavia Prague 1:2 Fenerbahce
- 24.02.2022: Slavia Prague 3:2 Fenerbahce
- 17.02.2022: Fenerbahce 2:3 Slavia Prague
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Fenerbahce vs Slavia Prague?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 58%.
How many yellow cards in Fenerbahce vs Slavia Prague?
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 54%.
Who is more likely to win Fenerbahce vs Slavia Prague?
Our model: Fenerbahce 60%, draw 21%, Slavia Prague 18%.