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Ferencvarosi TC vs Gyori ETO FC: prediction and statistics
Hungary · NB I · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Ferencvarosi TC · Gyori ETO FC
Before kick-off
Ferencvarosi TC host Gyori ETO FC in NB I on 21 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Ferencvarosi TC are 2nd, Gyori ETO FC 3rd in a table of 12. Both sides are in the top three.
Ferencvarosi TC arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Gyori ETO FC are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games.
Home advantage matters here: Ferencvarosi TC have 21 wins, 10 draws and 6 defeats in 37 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 2.1 and conceding 0.9 per game. On the road Gyori ETO FC are a dangerous side — 18 wins, 17 draws and 4 defeats in 39 away matches, 1.9 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
The 18 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Ferencvarosi TC 7, Gyori ETO FC 4, draws 7. Last time out (3 September 2026) it ended Gyori ETO FC 0:3 Ferencvarosi TC. On average these meetings produce 2.9 goals.
Form
Ferencvarosi TC: last five matches — D-W-W-W-W.
- 19 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 6 wins in a row · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Gyori ETO FC: last five matches — W-W-W-L-D.
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Ferencvarosi TC — 2, Gyori ETO FC — 3 (of 12).
Home and away record
Ferencvarosi TC at home and Gyori ETO FC away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Ferencvarosi TC | Gyori ETO FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 37 | 39 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 21-10-6 | 18-17-4 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.1 |
Head to head
18 meetings in our database: Ferencvarosi TC won 7, 7 draws, Gyori ETO FC won 4. Per match: 2.9 goals.
- 03.09.2026: Gyori ETO FC 0:3 Ferencvarosi TC
- 22.04.2026: Ferencvarosi TC 2:2 Gyori ETO FC
- 19.04.2026: Gyori ETO FC 1:0 Ferencvarosi TC
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model makes Ferencvarosi TC the favourite at 68%; a draw is 19%.
- Ferencvarosi TC should win the corner count: 7.1 expected against 2.7 for Gyori ETO FC.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 65% of Ferencvarosi TC home games and 56% of Gyori ETO FC away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Ferencvarosi TC 7.1, Gyori ETO FC 2.7. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 51% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 62%, typical match 61%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Ferencvarosi TC 2.1, Gyori ETO FC 2.6; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 50%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 51%, typical match 50%.
Result
Our model: Ferencvarosi TC win 68%, draw 19%, Gyori ETO FC win 13%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 48%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Ferencvarosi TC | Gyori ETO FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 57% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 46% | 74% |
| Total corners per match | 9.9 | 9.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 53% | 46% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 43% | 51% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.7 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.