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Ujpest vs Kisvarda FC: prediction and statistics
Hungary · NB I · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Ujpest · Kisvarda FC
Before kick-off
NB I, 21 November 2026: Ujpest are at home to Kisvarda FC. Ujpest go into the match 6th of 12 in the table, Kisvarda FC are 11th. Kisvarda FC are in the bottom three.
Recent results of Ujpest are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Kisvarda FC have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 10 for Ujpest against 5 for Kisvarda FC.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Ujpest have 14 wins, 14 draws and 12 defeats in 40 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The away record of Kisvarda FC: 6 wins, 5 draws and 11 defeats in 22 matches, with 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 24 meetings — wins: Ujpest 11, Kisvarda FC 10; draws: 3. The most recent meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Kisvarda FC 2:4 Ujpest. On average these meetings produce 2.7 goals.
Form
Ujpest: last five matches — D-W-W-L-W.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Kisvarda FC: last five matches — W-D-D-L-L.
- 7 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
Table: Ujpest — 6, Kisvarda FC — 11 (of 12).
Home and away record
Ujpest at home and Kisvarda FC away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Ujpest | Kisvarda FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 22 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 14-14-12 | 6-5-11 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Head to head
24 meetings in our database: Ujpest won 11, 3 draws, Kisvarda FC won 10. Per match: 2.7 goals.
- 08.08.2026: Kisvarda FC 2:4 Ujpest
- 14.03.2026: Ujpest 2:1 Kisvarda FC
- 30.11.2025: Kisvarda FC 3:0 Ujpest
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 63% of Ujpest’s home matches and 46% of Kisvarda FC’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Ujpest: 6.0 against 3.7 for Kisvarda FC.
- Ujpest is the more likely winner in our model: 52%, draw 24%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Ujpest 6.0, Kisvarda FC 3.7. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 50% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 62%, typical match 61%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: Ujpest 1.6, Kisvarda FC 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 41% (typical match — 50%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 59%, typical match 50%.
Result
Our model: Ujpest win 52%, draw 24%, Kisvarda FC win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 54%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Ujpest | Kisvarda FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 35% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 68% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | 10.3 | 8.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 61% | 47% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 57% | 55% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.9 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.