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Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II: prediction and statistics
Germany · 3. Liga · 16 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Fortuna Köln · Stuttgart II
Result
Our model: Fortuna Köln win 54%, draw 21%, Stuttgart II win 25%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 65%.
Form
Fortuna Köln: last five matches — W-W-W-W-D.
- 27 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Stuttgart II: last five matches — W-L-W-L-D.
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Fortuna Köln — 20, Stuttgart II — 13 (of 21).
Team statistics for three seasons
Fortuna Köln at home and Stuttgart II away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Fortuna Köln | Stuttgart II | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 43 |
| Win rate | 0% | 19% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.0 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.0 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 0% | 65% |
| Total corners per match | 9.0 | 7.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 0% | 32% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.0 | 5.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 70% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II?
Our model: Fortuna Köln 54%, draw 21%, Stuttgart II 25%.