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Gaborone United vs Sua Flamingoes: prediction and statistics
Botswana · Premier League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Gaborone United · Sua Flamingoes
Before kick-off
Gaborone United host Sua Flamingoes in Premier League on 21 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Gaborone United are 1st, Sua Flamingoes 2nd in a table of 16. Both sides are in the top three.
Gaborone United arrive in excellent form: 5 wins in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Sua Flamingoes are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games. Counted in points, Gaborone United took 15 from that stretch and Sua Flamingoes only 8.
Home advantage matters here: Gaborone United have 29 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats in 36 home matches (2024–2026), scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.6 per game. On the road Sua Flamingoes are a dangerous side — 18 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats in 33 away matches, 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
The 10 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Gaborone United 5, Sua Flamingoes 3, draws 2. Last time out (14 February 2026) it ended Gaborone United 2:3 Sua Flamingoes. On average these meetings produce 3.5 goals.
Form
Gaborone United: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 13 matches unbeaten · at home
- 8 wins in a row · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
Sua Flamingoes: last five matches — D-W-D-L-W.
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: Gaborone United — 1, Sua Flamingoes — 2 (of 16).
Home and away record
Gaborone United at home and Sua Flamingoes away, 2024–2026.
| Gaborone United | Sua Flamingoes | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 36 | 33 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 29-5-2 | 18-6-9 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Gaborone United won 5, 2 draws, Sua Flamingoes won 3. Per match: 3.5 goals.
- 14.02.2026: Gaborone United 2:3 Sua Flamingoes
- 22.10.2025: Sua Flamingoes 1:3 Gaborone United
- 12.02.2025: Sua Flamingoes 2:1 Gaborone United
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 56% of Gaborone United home games and 42% of Sua Flamingoes away games.
- Our model makes Gaborone United the favourite at 61%; a draw is 25%.
Result
Our model: Gaborone United win 61%, draw 25%, Sua Flamingoes win 15%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 39%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Gaborone United | Sua Flamingoes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 81% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 42% |
| Both teams score | 44% | 42% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.