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Orapa United vs Extension Gunners: prediction and statistics
Botswana · Premier League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Orapa United · Extension Gunners
Before kick-off
Premier League, 21 November 2026: Orapa United are at home to Extension Gunners. Orapa United go into the match 6th of 16 in the table, Extension Gunners are 10th.
Recent results of Orapa United are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games. Extension Gunners have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024–2026) Orapa United have 11 wins, 14 draws and 9 defeats in 34 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Trips have rarely paid off for Extension Gunners — 6 wins, 8 draws and 20 defeats in 34 away matches, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.6 on average.
Head to head, Orapa United have the upper hand: 11 wins in 15 meetings with Extension Gunners in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Orapa United 3:2 Extension Gunners. On average these meetings produce 2.9 goals.
Form
Orapa United: last five matches — W-D-L-W-D.
- 7 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
Extension Gunners: last five matches — L-W-L-D-D.
- 7 matches without a win · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Orapa United — 6, Extension Gunners — 10 (of 16).
Home and away record
Orapa United at home and Extension Gunners away, 2024–2026.
| Orapa United | Extension Gunners | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 34 | 34 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 11-14-9 | 6-8-20 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
Head to head
15 meetings in our database: Orapa United won 11, 3 draws, Extension Gunners won 1. Per match: 2.9 goals.
- 04.04.2026: Orapa United 3:2 Extension Gunners
- 31.10.2025: Extension Gunners 1:1 Orapa United
- 15.02.2025: Orapa United 1:2 Extension Gunners
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Orapa United is the more likely winner in our model: 57%, draw 26%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 24% of Orapa United’s home matches and 53% of Extension Gunners’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Orapa United: 11 wins in 15 meetings with Extension Gunners.
Result
Our model: Orapa United win 57%, draw 26%, Extension Gunners win 17%. Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 39%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Orapa United | Extension Gunners | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 32% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 24% | 53% |
| Both teams score | 47% | 47% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.