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Prisons XI vs TAFIC: prediction and statistics
Botswana · Premier League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Prisons XI · TAFIC
Before kick-off
Premier League, 21 November 2026: Prisons XI are at home to TAFIC. Prisons XI go into the match 12th of 16 in the table, TAFIC are 9th.
Prisons XI are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. TAFIC have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 4 against 5.
Prisons XI have not made their ground a fortress: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 4 home matches (2024–2026), 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. The away record of TAFIC: 11 wins, 13 draws and 11 defeats in 35 matches, with 0.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded on average.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2020, finished Prisons XI 2:1 TAFIC.
Form
Prisons XI: last five matches — L-L-W-D-L.
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
TAFIC: last five matches — L-W-D-D-L.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Prisons XI — 12, TAFIC — 9 (of 16).
Home and away record
Prisons XI at home and TAFIC away, 2024–2026.
| Prisons XI | TAFIC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 35 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 1-1-2 | 11-13-11 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Prisons XI won 2, 0 draws, TAFIC won 0. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 01.02.2020: Prisons XI 2:1 TAFIC
- 18.09.2019: TAFIC 1:2 Prisons XI
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- TAFIC is the more likely winner in our model: 61%, draw 25%.
Result
Our model: Prisons XI win 14%, draw 25%, TAFIC win 61%. Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 36%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Prisons XI | TAFIC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 25% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 26% |
| Both teams score | 75% | 34% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | 0% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.