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Gangwon FC vs Daejeon Citizen: prediction and statistics
South Korea · K League 1 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Gangwon FC · Daejeon Citizen
Before kick-off
K League 1, 21 November 2026: Gangwon FC are at home to Daejeon Citizen. They are neighbours in the table: Gangwon FC are 4th and Daejeon Citizen 3rd of 12. Daejeon Citizen are in the top three.
Recent results of Gangwon FC are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Daejeon Citizen have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024–2026) Gangwon FC have 24 wins, 23 draws and 9 defeats in 56 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The away record of Daejeon Citizen: 19 wins, 18 draws and 18 defeats in 55 matches, with 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 20 meetings — wins: Gangwon FC 6, Daejeon Citizen 7; draws: 7. The most recent meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished Daejeon Citizen 3:0 Gangwon FC. On average these meetings produce 2.2 goals.
Form
Gangwon FC: last five matches — W-L-D-W-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
Daejeon Citizen: last five matches — D-D-W-D-L.
- 8 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Gangwon FC — 4, Daejeon Citizen — 3 (of 12).
Home and away record
Gangwon FC at home and Daejeon Citizen away, 2024–2026.
| Gangwon FC | Daejeon Citizen | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 56 | 55 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 24-23-9 | 19-18-18 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Head to head
20 meetings in our database: Gangwon FC won 6, 7 draws, Daejeon Citizen won 7. Per match: 2.2 goals.
- 23.08.2026: Daejeon Citizen 3:0 Gangwon FC
- 12.05.2026: Gangwon FC 2:0 Daejeon Citizen
- 12.04.2026: Daejeon Citizen 0:2 Gangwon FC
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model expects more corners from Gangwon FC: 5.3 against 3.5 for Daejeon Citizen.
- No clear favourite in our model: 32% – 27% – 41%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 43% of Gangwon FC’s home matches and 58% of Daejeon Citizen’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.8 corners in the match: Gangwon FC 5.3, Daejeon Citizen 3.5. In a typical match of this competition — 8.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 39% (typical match — 36%).
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: Gangwon FC 1.9, Daejeon Citizen 1.6; typical match of the competition — 3.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 26% (typical match — 28%).
Result
Our model: Gangwon FC win 32%, draw 27%, Daejeon Citizen win 41%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 50%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Gangwon FC | Daejeon Citizen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 43% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 58% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 62% |
| Total corners per match | 8.9 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 43% | 48% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 30% | 26% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.2 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.