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Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul: prediction and statistics

South Korea · K League 1 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

Jeonbuk Motors host FC Seoul in K League 1 on 21 November 2026. In the standings Jeonbuk Motors are 5th and FC Seoul 1st out of 12 teams.

Jeonbuk Motors arrive in excellent form: 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for FC Seoul: 2 wins and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. Counted in points, Jeonbuk Motors took 11 from that stretch and FC Seoul only 6.

The home record of Jeonbuk Motors (2024–2026) is balanced: 27 wins, 17 draws and 13 defeats in 57 matches, 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. On the road FC Seoul are a dangerous side — 23 wins, 17 draws and 16 defeats in 56 away matches, 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

History favours Jeonbuk Motors — 23 wins from 37 meetings with FC Seoul. Last time out (12 September 2026) it ended Jeonbuk Motors 1:2 FC Seoul. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.

Form

Jeonbuk Motors: last five matches — W-D-W-D-W.

FC Seoul: last five matches — L-W-L-L-W.

Table: Jeonbuk Motors — 5, FC Seoul — 1 (of 12).

Home and away record

Jeonbuk Motors at home and FC Seoul away, 2024–2026.

Jeonbuk MotorsFC Seoul
Matches5756
Wins · draws · losses27-17-1323-17-16
Goals scored per match1.61.4
Goals conceded per match1.21.1

Head to head

37 meetings in our database: Jeonbuk Motors won 23, 9 draws, FC Seoul won 5. Per match: 2.8 goals.

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • FC Seoul should win the corner count: 4.8 expected against 3.4 for Jeonbuk Motors.
  • Jeonbuk Motors has won 23 of the last 37 meetings with FC Seoul.
  • Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 60% of Jeonbuk Motors home games and 46% of FC Seoul away games.
  • Our model sees an open game: Jeonbuk Motors 35%, draw 27%, FC Seoul 38%.

Corners

69%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 8.2 corners in the match: Jeonbuk Motors 3.4, FC Seoul 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 8.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 31% (typical match — 36%).

Yellow cards

69%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: Jeonbuk Motors 1.9, FC Seoul 1.7; typical match of the competition — 3.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 31% (typical match — 28%).

Result

Our model: Jeonbuk Motors win 35%, draw 27%, FC Seoul win 38%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 51%.

Team statistics for three seasons

Jeonbuk MotorsFC Seoul
Win rate47%41%
Over 2.5 goals60%46%
Both teams score65%55%
Total corners per match7.68.7
Over 9.5 corners16%42%
Total yellow cards per match3.43.6
Over 4.5 yellow cards30%41%

Head to head

Corners in their meetings: 8.1 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.5 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Other matches

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