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Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai FC: prediction and statistics
South Korea · K League 1 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Incheon United · Ulsan Hyundai FC
Before kick-off
Incheon United host Ulsan Hyundai FC in K League 1 on 21 November 2026. In the standings Incheon United are 6th and Ulsan Hyundai FC 2nd out of 12 teams. Ulsan Hyundai FC are part of the leading group.
Incheon United arrive in excellent form: 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. Ulsan Hyundai FC are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Counted in points, Incheon United took 11 from that stretch and Ulsan Hyundai FC only 4.
Home matches have been a struggle for Incheon United (2024–2026) — 10 wins, 9 draws and 17 defeats in 36 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.2 on average. Away from home Ulsan Hyundai FC have 18 wins, 16 draws and 21 defeats in 55 matches, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 per game.
The 30 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Incheon United 6, Ulsan Hyundai FC 14, draws 10. Last time out (12 September 2026) it ended Ulsan Hyundai FC 2:1 Incheon United. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Incheon United: last five matches — D-W-D-W-W.
- 8 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Ulsan Hyundai FC: last five matches — L-D-L-L-W.
- 7 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Incheon United — 6, Ulsan Hyundai FC — 2 (of 12).
Home and away record
Incheon United at home and Ulsan Hyundai FC away, 2024–2026.
| Incheon United | Ulsan Hyundai FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 36 | 55 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 10-9-17 | 18-16-21 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Head to head
30 meetings in our database: Incheon United won 6, 10 draws, Ulsan Hyundai FC won 14. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 12.09.2026: Ulsan Hyundai FC 2:1 Incheon United
- 21.07.2026: Ulsan Hyundai FC 1:2 Incheon United
- 11.04.2026: Incheon United 1:2 Ulsan Hyundai FC
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 42% of Incheon United home games and 40% of Ulsan Hyundai FC away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Incheon United 43%, draw 26%, Ulsan Hyundai FC 31%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.5 corners in the match: Incheon United 4.5, Ulsan Hyundai FC 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 8.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 35% (typical match — 36%).
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Incheon United 1.8, Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 30% (typical match — 28%).
Result
Our model: Incheon United win 43%, draw 26%, Ulsan Hyundai FC win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 52%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Incheon United | Ulsan Hyundai FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 28% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | 8.0 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 25% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 42% | 29% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.4 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.2 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.