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Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eredivisie · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 11.0 corners in the match: Go Ahead Eagles 6.2, Sparta Rotterdam 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 66% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 54%, typical match 45%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Go Ahead Eagles 1.7, Sparta Rotterdam 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 27% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 73%, typical match 76%.
Result
Market line without margin: Go Ahead Eagles win 54%, draw 23%, Sparta Rotterdam win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 65%.
Form
Go Ahead Eagles: last five matches — L-W-W-W-D.
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
Sparta Rotterdam: last five matches — L-L-W-L-L.
- 8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Go Ahead Eagles — 9, Sparta Rotterdam — 12 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Go Ahead Eagles at home and Sparta Rotterdam away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Go Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 37 | 37 |
| Win rate | 49% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 57% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | 10.9 | 10.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 57% | 65% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.6 | 3.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 11% | 32% |
Head to head
15 meetings in our database: Go Ahead Eagles won 5, 3 draws, Sparta Rotterdam won 7. Per match: 3.1 goals, 10.2 corners, 2.5 yellow cards.
- 03.05.2026: Sparta Rotterdam 2:2 Go Ahead Eagles
- 23.08.2025: Go Ahead Eagles 0:3 Sparta Rotterdam
- 14.02.2025: Go Ahead Eagles 1:0 Sparta Rotterdam
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our model expects 11.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 66%.
How many yellow cards in Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 27%.
Who is more likely to win Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Market line without margin: Go Ahead Eagles 54%, draw 23%, Sparta Rotterdam 23%.