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Grazer AK vs Rapid Vienna: prediction and statistics
Austria · Bundesliga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Grazer AK · Rapid Vienna
Before kick-off
Grazer AK host Rapid Vienna in Bundesliga on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Rapid Vienna are 1st of 12, Grazer AK 10th — a gap of 9 places. Grazer AK are in the bottom three.
Grazer AK are still looking for a win: 3 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Few sides are in better shape than Rapid Vienna right now — 5 wins from the last 5 games. Counted in points, Rapid Vienna took 15 from that stretch and Grazer AK only 3.
The home record of Grazer AK (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 10 wins, 16 draws and 11 defeats in 37 matches, 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Away from home Rapid Vienna have 11 wins, 12 draws and 16 defeats in 39 matches, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 per game.
Draws are a feature of this pairing — 2 in 5 meetings. Last time out (16 August 2026) it ended Rapid Vienna 8:0 Grazer AK. On average these meetings produce 3.6 goals.
Form
Grazer AK: last five matches — D-D-D-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
Rapid Vienna: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 10 wins in a row · all competitions
- 10 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
Table: Grazer AK — 10, Rapid Vienna — 1 (of 12).
Home and away record
Grazer AK at home and Rapid Vienna away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Grazer AK | Rapid Vienna | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 37 | 39 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 10-16-11 | 11-12-16 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Grazer AK won 1, 2 draws, Rapid Vienna won 2. Per match: 3.6 goals.
- 16.08.2026: Rapid Vienna 8:0 Grazer AK
- 23.11.2025: Rapid Vienna 1:2 Grazer AK
- 21.09.2025: Grazer AK 1:1 Rapid Vienna
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Rapid Vienna should win the corner count: 5.6 expected against 3.8 for Grazer AK.
- 2 of the 5 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 57% of Grazer AK home games and 51% of Rapid Vienna away games.
- Our model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite at 80%; a draw is 13%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Grazer AK 3.8, Rapid Vienna 5.6. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 54%, typical match 46%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Grazer AK 1.8, Rapid Vienna 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 42%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 65%, typical match 58%.
Result
Our model: Grazer AK win 7%, draw 13%, Rapid Vienna win 80%. Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 51%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Grazer AK | Rapid Vienna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 27% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 51% |
| Both teams score | 62% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 9.4 | 9.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 41% | 49% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 62% | 46% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 12.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.