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WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Lustenau: prediction and statistics
Austria · Bundesliga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: WSG Swarovski Tirol · Austria Lustenau
Before kick-off
WSG Swarovski Tirol host Austria Lustenau in Bundesliga on 21 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — WSG Swarovski Tirol are 7th, Austria Lustenau 8th in a table of 12.
WSG Swarovski Tirol are still looking for a win: 3 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Austria Lustenau are in a difficult spell: 1 win and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches. Measured in points the two runs are close — 3 and 3.
The home record of WSG Swarovski Tirol (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 10 wins, 16 draws and 12 defeats in 38 matches, 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Austria Lustenau find it hard on the road: 1 draw and 5 defeats in 6 away matches, 1.3 goals scored and 3.2 conceded per game.
The 23 previous meetings are fairly balanced — WSG Swarovski Tirol 8, Austria Lustenau 8, draws 7. Last time out (28 August 2026) it ended Austria Lustenau 0:4 WSG Swarovski Tirol. On average these meetings produce 3.4 goals.
Form
WSG Swarovski Tirol: last five matches — L-D-L-D-D.
- 10 matches without a win · at home
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Austria Lustenau: last five matches — L-L-L-L-W.
- 8 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 7 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: WSG Swarovski Tirol — 7, Austria Lustenau — 8 (of 12).
Home and away record
WSG Swarovski Tirol at home and Austria Lustenau away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| WSG Swarovski Tirol | Austria Lustenau | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 38 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 10-16-12 | 0-1-5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 3.2 |
Head to head
23 meetings in our database: WSG Swarovski Tirol won 8, 7 draws, Austria Lustenau won 8. Per match: 3.4 goals.
- 28.08.2026: Austria Lustenau 0:4 WSG Swarovski Tirol
- 31.01.2026: Austria Lustenau 0:6 WSG Swarovski Tirol
- 27.04.2024: WSG Swarovski Tirol 0:0 Austria Lustenau
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model makes WSG Swarovski Tirol the favourite at 56%; a draw is 21%.
- WSG Swarovski Tirol should win the corner count: 6.8 expected against 3.2 for Austria Lustenau.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 45% of WSG Swarovski Tirol home games and 83% of Austria Lustenau away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: WSG Swarovski Tirol 6.8, Austria Lustenau 3.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 54% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 54%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: WSG Swarovski Tirol 1.8, Austria Lustenau 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 34% (typical match — 42%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 66%, typical match 58%.
Result
Our model: WSG Swarovski Tirol win 56%, draw 21%, Austria Lustenau win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 62%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| WSG Swarovski Tirol | Austria Lustenau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 26% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 83% |
| Both teams score | 61% | 100% |
| Total corners per match | 10.0 | 13.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 53% | 83% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 26% | 17% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 11.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.