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LASK Linz vs TSV Hartberg: prediction and statistics
Austria · Bundesliga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: LASK Linz · TSV Hartberg
Before kick-off
Bundesliga, 21 November 2026: LASK Linz are at home to TSV Hartberg. They are neighbours in the table: LASK Linz are 3rd and TSV Hartberg 4th of 12. LASK Linz are part of the leading group.
Recent results of LASK Linz are mostly positive — 3 wins and 2 defeats from 5 games. TSV Hartberg have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 9 against 8.
LASK Linz are hard to beat on their own ground — 23 wins, 7 draws and 10 defeats in 40 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), with 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. The away record of TSV Hartberg: 13 wins, 14 draws and 11 defeats in 38 matches, with 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded on average.
This fixture often ends level: 18 of the 36 meetings in the Xpect database were draws. The most recent meeting, on 20 September 2026, finished TSV Hartberg 3:3 LASK Linz. On average these meetings produce 2.9 goals.
Form
LASK Linz: last five matches — L-L-W-W-W.
- 8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 wins in a row · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
TSV Hartberg: last five matches — W-D-L-D-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: LASK Linz — 3, TSV Hartberg — 4 (of 12).
Home and away record
LASK Linz at home and TSV Hartberg away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| LASK Linz | TSV Hartberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 38 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 23-7-10 | 13-14-11 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Head to head
36 meetings in our database: LASK Linz won 12, 18 draws, TSV Hartberg won 6. Per match: 2.9 goals.
- 20.09.2026: TSV Hartberg 3:3 LASK Linz
- 26.04.2026: TSV Hartberg 1:5 LASK Linz
- 13.03.2026: LASK Linz 0:0 TSV Hartberg
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- LASK Linz is the more likely winner in our model: 63%, draw 18%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 60% of LASK Linz’s home matches and 47% of TSV Hartberg’s away matches over three seasons.
- Draws are common in this fixture: 18 of 36 meetings.
- Our model expects more corners from LASK Linz: 7.5 against 2.6 for TSV Hartberg.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: LASK Linz 7.5, TSV Hartberg 2.6. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 56%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: LASK Linz 1.6, TSV Hartberg 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 33% (typical match — 42%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 68%, typical match 58%.
Result
Our model: LASK Linz win 63%, draw 18%, TSV Hartberg win 18%. Over 2.5 goals — 73%, both teams to score — 67%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| LASK Linz | TSV Hartberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 57% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 47% |
| Both teams score | 53% | 45% |
| Total corners per match | 9.5 | 10.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 45% | 53% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 32% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 11.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.2 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.