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Guastatoya vs Comunicaciones: prediction and statistics
Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 22 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Guastatoya · Comunicaciones
Before kick-off
Liga Nacional, 22 November 2026: Guastatoya are at home to Comunicaciones. They are neighbours in the table: Guastatoya are 4th and Comunicaciones 6th of 12.
An uneven run for Guastatoya: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Comunicaciones have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 7 against 6.
At home (2024–2026) Guastatoya have 23 wins, 13 draws and 16 defeats in 52 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Trips have rarely paid off for Comunicaciones — 10 wins, 15 draws and 29 defeats in 54 away matches, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.5 on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 52 meetings — wins: Guastatoya 15, Comunicaciones 20; draws: 17. The most recent meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished Comunicaciones 1:2 Guastatoya. On average these meetings produce 2.0 goals.
Form
Guastatoya: last five matches — W-D-L-L-W.
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Comunicaciones: last five matches — W-L-L-L-W.
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Guastatoya — 4, Comunicaciones — 6 (of 12).
Home and away record
Guastatoya at home and Comunicaciones away, 2024–2026.
| Guastatoya | Comunicaciones | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 54 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 23-13-16 | 10-15-29 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.5 |
Head to head
52 meetings in our database: Guastatoya won 15, 17 draws, Comunicaciones won 20. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 19.09.2026: Comunicaciones 1:2 Guastatoya
- 21.04.2026: Comunicaciones 1:0 Guastatoya
- 28.02.2026: Guastatoya 1:3 Comunicaciones
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Guastatoya is the more likely winner in our model: 51%, draw 26%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 54% of Guastatoya’s home matches and 44% of Comunicaciones’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.8 yellow cards: Guastatoya 2.6, Comunicaciones 3.2; typical match of the competition — 5.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 69% (typical match — 62%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 69%, typical match 62%.
Result
Our model: Guastatoya win 51%, draw 26%, Comunicaciones win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 48%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Guastatoya | Comunicaciones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 44% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 52% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.2 | 5.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 65% | 61% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.