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Homeboyz vs Kenya Police: prediction and statistics
Kenya · FKF Premier League · 8 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Homeboyz · Kenya Police
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 30% – 30% – 40%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 31% of Homeboyz’s home matches and 20% of Kenya Police’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 2:2.
Result
Our model: Homeboyz win 30%, draw 30%, Kenya Police win 40%. Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 41%.
Form
Homeboyz: last five matches — L-L-L-D-L.
- 11 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Kenya Police: last five matches — W-D-D-L-W.
Table: Homeboyz — 11, Kenya Police — 4 (of 12).
Team statistics for three seasons
Homeboyz at home and Kenya Police away, 2024–2026.
| Homeboyz | Kenya Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 36 | 35 |
| Win rate | 39% | 43% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 20% |
| Both teams score | 47% | 26% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 0% |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Homeboyz won 2, 3 draws, Kenya Police won 3. Per match: 2.4 goals.
- 31.05.2026: Kenya Police 1:1 Homeboyz
- 22.12.2025: Homeboyz 2:2 Kenya Police
- 14.05.2025: Homeboyz 2:1 Kenya Police
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Homeboyz vs Kenya Police?
Our model: Homeboyz 30%, draw 30%, Kenya Police 40%.