Xpect
Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Liga Profesional · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.0 corners in the match: Instituto Cordoba 5.1, Boca Juniors 3.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 42% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 58%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards: Instituto Cordoba 2.4, Boca Juniors 2.6; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 56% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 74%, typical match 74%.
Result
Market line without margin: Instituto Cordoba win 30%, draw 32%, Boca Juniors win 38%. Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 44%.
Form
Instituto Cordoba: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 6 wins in a row · at home
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Boca Juniors: last five matches — D-D-D-W-W.
- 16 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
Table: Instituto Cordoba — 9, Boca Juniors — 4 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Instituto Cordoba at home and Boca Juniors away, 2024–2026.
| Instituto Cordoba | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 44 |
| Win rate | 52% | 36% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 48% |
| Total corners per match | 8.7 | 9.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 33% | 49% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.8 | 5.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 79% | 61% |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Instituto Cordoba won 1, 1 draws, Boca Juniors won 1. Per match: 2.3 goals, 13.0 corners, 3.3 yellow cards.
- 22.03.2026: Boca Juniors 2:0 Instituto Cordoba
- 28.07.2024: Instituto Cordoba 0:0 Boca Juniors
- 19.03.2023: Boca Juniors 2:3 Instituto Cordoba
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors?
Our model expects 9.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 42%.
How many yellow cards in Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors?
Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 56%.
Who is more likely to win Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors?
Market line without margin: Instituto Cordoba 30%, draw 32%, Boca Juniors 38%.