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JS Kabylie vs USM Alger: prediction and statistics
Algeria · Ligue 1 · 19 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: JS Kabylie · USM Alger
Before kick-off
JS Kabylie host USM Alger in Ligue 1 on 19 November 2026. In the standings JS Kabylie are 2nd and USM Alger 6th out of 16 teams. JS Kabylie are in the top three.
JS Kabylie arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. Recent results of USM Alger are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games.
Home advantage matters here: JS Kabylie have 21 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats in 34 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.9 per game. Away from home USM Alger have 6 wins, 15 draws and 13 defeats in 34 matches, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.1 per game.
The 29 previous meetings are fairly balanced — JS Kabylie 7, USM Alger 13, draws 9. Last time out (25 March 2026) it ended USM Alger 0:1 JS Kabylie. On average these meetings produce 1.7 goals.
Form
JS Kabylie: last five matches — D-W-W-W-W.
- 9 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 wins in a row · at home
USM Alger: last five matches — D-W-L-W-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: JS Kabylie — 2, USM Alger — 6 (of 16).
Home and away record
JS Kabylie at home and USM Alger away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| JS Kabylie | USM Alger | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 34 | 34 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 21-7-6 | 6-15-13 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.1 |
Head to head
29 meetings in our database: JS Kabylie won 7, 9 draws, USM Alger won 13. Per match: 1.7 goals.
- 25.03.2026: USM Alger 0:1 JS Kabylie
- 08.12.2025: JS Kabylie 1:2 USM Alger
- 19.04.2025: USM Alger 0:1 JS Kabylie
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 56% of JS Kabylie home games and 35% of USM Alger away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: JS Kabylie 1.8, USM Alger 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 65%, typical match 54%.
Result
Our model: JS Kabylie win 49%, draw 29%, USM Alger win 22%. Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 40%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| JS Kabylie | USM Alger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 62% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 35% |
| Both teams score | 59% | 44% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.4 | 3.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 32% | 38% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 0.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.