Xpect
Kolding IF vs Aalborg: prediction and statistics
Denmark · 1. Division · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Kolding IF · Aalborg
Before kick-off
1. Division, 20 November 2026: Kolding IF are at home to Aalborg. Kolding IF go into the match 9th of 12 in the table, Aalborg are 6th.
Few sides are in better shape than Kolding IF right now — 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games. Aalborg have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 11 for Kolding IF against 6 for Aalborg.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Kolding IF have 16 wins, 11 draws and 12 defeats in 39 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The away record of Aalborg: 6 wins, 9 draws and 8 defeats in 23 matches, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 7 meetings — wins: Kolding IF 2, Aalborg 3; draws: 2. The most recent meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished Aalborg 1:1 Kolding IF. On average these meetings produce 3.1 goals.
Form
Kolding IF: last five matches — D-D-W-W-W.
- 17 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Aalborg: last five matches — D-W-D-L-D.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Kolding IF — 9, Aalborg — 6 (of 12).
Home and away record
Kolding IF at home and Aalborg away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Kolding IF | Aalborg | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 39 | 23 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 16-11-12 | 6-9-8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
Head to head
7 meetings in our database: Kolding IF won 2, 2 draws, Aalborg won 3. Per match: 3.1 goals.
- 09.08.2026: Aalborg 1:1 Kolding IF
- 22.11.2025: Aalborg 0:3 Kolding IF
- 19.07.2025: Kolding IF 1:0 Aalborg
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 49% of Kolding IF’s home matches and 56% of Aalborg’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.3 yellow cards: Kolding IF 1.7, Aalborg 1.6; typical match of the competition — 3.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 23% (typical match — 29%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 58%, typical match 52%.
Result
Our model: Kolding IF win 47%, draw 24%, Aalborg win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 60%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Kolding IF | Aalborg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 41% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 65% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.0 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 18% | 26% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.