Xpect
Malavan vs Gol Gohar: prediction and statistics
Iran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 19 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Malavan · Gol Gohar
Before kick-off
Malavan host Gol Gohar in Persian Gulf Pro League on 19 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Gol Gohar are 9th of 18, Malavan 16th — a gap of 7 places. Malavan are in the bottom three.
Results have gone against Malavan recently — 1 win and 4 defeats from the last 5 games. Gol Gohar are in a difficult spell: 1 win and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches. Measured in points the two runs are close — 3 and 3.
The home record of Malavan (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 13 wins, 9 draws and 9 defeats in 31 matches, 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Away from home Gol Gohar have 11 wins, 12 draws and 10 defeats in 33 matches, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Both samples are low on goals: 2.2 per game in home matches of Malavan and 1.6 in away matches of Gol Gohar.
The 15 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Malavan 3, Gol Gohar 7, draws 5. Last time out (3 February 2026) it ended Gol Gohar 1:0 Malavan. On average these meetings produce 1.5 goals.
Form
Malavan: last five matches — W-L-L-L-L.
- 10 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · at home
Gol Gohar: last five matches — L-W-L-L-L.
- 8 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 6 matches without a win · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Malavan — 16, Gol Gohar — 9 (of 18).
Home and away record
Malavan at home and Gol Gohar away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Malavan | Gol Gohar | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 31 | 33 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 13-9-9 | 11-12-10 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Head to head
15 meetings in our database: Malavan won 3, 5 draws, Gol Gohar won 7. Per match: 1.5 goals.
- 03.02.2026: Gol Gohar 1:0 Malavan
- 19.09.2025: Malavan 0:2 Gol Gohar
- 23.05.2025: Gol Gohar 0:1 Malavan
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 39% of Malavan home games and 18% of Gol Gohar away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Malavan 30%, draw 33%, Gol Gohar 37%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Malavan 1.6, Gol Gohar 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 30% (typical match — 28%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 71%, typical match 72%.
Result
Our model: Malavan win 30%, draw 33%, Gol Gohar win 37%. Over 2.5 goals — 27%, both teams to score — 35%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Malavan | Gol Gohar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 42% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 18% |
| Both teams score | 45% | 36% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 32% | 28% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.1 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.