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Mirandes vs Athletic Club II: prediction and statistics
Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 1 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Mirandes · Athletic Club II
Before kick-off
Primera Federación – Grupo 1, 21 November 2026: Mirandes are at home to Athletic Club II. They are neighbours in the table: Mirandes are 8th and Athletic Club II 10th of 20.
Recent results of Mirandes are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Athletic Club II have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches.
Mirandes are hard to beat on their own ground — 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in 6 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), with 1.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. The away record of Athletic Club II: 15 wins, 9 draws and 20 defeats in 44 matches, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. The most recent meeting, on 26 July 2025, finished Athletic Club II 1:0 Mirandes.
Form
Mirandes: last five matches — W-W-D-W-L.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Athletic Club II: last five matches — W-W-L-L-L.
- 3 losses in a row · away
- 3 matches without a win · away
Table: Mirandes — 8, Athletic Club II — 10 (of 20).
Home and away record
Mirandes at home and Athletic Club II away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Mirandes | Athletic Club II | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 44 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 4-1-1 | 15-9-20 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Mirandes won 0, 1 draws, Athletic Club II won 1. Per match: 0.5 goals.
- 26.07.2025: Athletic Club II 1:0 Mirandes
- 27.07.2022: Athletic Club II 0:0 Mirandes
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Mirandes is the more likely winner in our model: 57%, draw 24%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 17% of Mirandes’s home matches and 48% of Athletic Club II’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Mirandes 2.7, Athletic Club II 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 55% (typical match — 53%).
Result
Our model: Mirandes win 57%, draw 24%, Athletic Club II win 19%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 46%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Mirandes | Athletic Club II | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 67% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% | 48% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | 11.0 | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | 100% | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.5 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 83% | 36% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.