Xpect
MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II: prediction and statistics
Germany · 3. Liga · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: MSV Duisburg 5.5, Hoffenheim II 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 51% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 62%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: MSV Duisburg 1.9, Hoffenheim II 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 42% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 58%, typical match 52%.
Form
MSV Duisburg: last five matches — L-W-L-W-W.
- 8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
Hoffenheim II: last five matches — L-L-W-L-W.
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: MSV Duisburg — 1, Hoffenheim II — 5 (of 21).
Team statistics for three seasons
MSV Duisburg at home and Hoffenheim II away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| MSV Duisburg | Hoffenheim II | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 22 | 22 |
| Win rate | 77% | 36% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 73% |
| Both teams score | 77% | 68% |
| Total corners per match | 8.6 | 10.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 33% | 60% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 50% |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: MSV Duisburg won 1, 0 draws, Hoffenheim II won 1. Per match: 4.5 goals, 9.5 corners, 3.0 yellow cards.
- 18.04.2026: MSV Duisburg 3:1 Hoffenheim II
- 21.11.2025: Hoffenheim II 4:1 MSV Duisburg
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 51%.
How many yellow cards in MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II?
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 42%.