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Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Liga Profesional · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.1 corners in the match: Newells Old Boys 4.8, Central Cordoba de Santiago 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 42% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 58%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Newells Old Boys 2.0, Central Cordoba de Santiago 2.7; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 50% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 69%, typical match 74%.
Result
Our model: Newells Old Boys win 45%, draw 29%, Central Cordoba de Santiago win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 42%.
Form
Newells Old Boys: last five matches — D-W-W-D-D.
- 8 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Central Cordoba de Santiago: last five matches — W-L-D-L-D.
- 8 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Newells Old Boys — 23, Central Cordoba de Santiago — 27 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Newells Old Boys at home and Central Cordoba de Santiago away, 2024–2026.
| Newells Old Boys | Central Cordoba de Santiago | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 44 | 44 |
| Win rate | 30% | 16% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 36% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 8.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 40% | 36% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 52% | 57% |
Head to head
13 meetings in our database: Newells Old Boys won 8, 2 draws, Central Cordoba de Santiago won 3. Per match: 2.4 goals, 9.1 corners, 3.8 yellow cards.
- 05.04.2026: Central Cordoba de Santiago 1:3 Newells Old Boys
- 09.08.2025: Newells Old Boys 1:1 Central Cordoba de Santiago
- 07.02.2025: Central Cordoba de Santiago 2:0 Newells Old Boys
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
Our model expects 9.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 42%.
How many yellow cards in Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 50%.
Who is more likely to win Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago?
Our model: Newells Old Boys 45%, draw 29%, Central Cordoba de Santiago 26%.