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OLS vs PKKU: prediction and statistics
Finland · Ykkönen · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: OLS 2.1, PKKU 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 40%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 63%, typical match 59%.
Result
Market line without margin: OLS win 50%, draw 23%, PKKU win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 73%, both teams to score — 71%.
Form
OLS: last five matches — L-W-W-D-W.
- 12 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 10 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
PKKU: last five matches — W-D-D-W-L.
Table: OLS — 5, PKKU — 4 (of 12).
Team statistics for three seasons
OLS at home and PKKU away, 2024–2026.
| OLS | PKKU | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 39 | 38 |
| Win rate | 64% | 42% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 79% |
| Both teams score | 72% | 71% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 49% | 53% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: OLS won 3, 2 draws, PKKU won 1. Per match: 2.2 goals, 4.0 yellow cards.
- 18.07.2026: PKKU 1:1 OLS
- 25.04.2026: OLS 2:0 PKKU
- 02.08.2025: PKKU 1:1 OLS
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in OLS vs PKKU?
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 44%.
Who is more likely to win OLS vs PKKU?
Market line without margin: OLS 50%, draw 23%, PKKU 27%.