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Tampere United vs JJK: prediction and statistics
Finland · Ykkönen · 25 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Tampere United 1.8, JJK 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 32% (typical match — 40%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 68%, typical match 60%.
Result
Market line without margin: Tampere United win 67%, draw 17%, JJK win 16%. Over 2.5 goals — 74%, both teams to score — 65%.
Form
Tampere United: last five matches — D-W-D-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
JJK: last five matches — L-L-D-D-L.
- 6 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Tampere United — 1, JJK — 8 (of 12).
Team statistics for three seasons
Tampere United at home and JJK away, 2024–2026.
| Tampere United | JJK | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 25 | 39 |
| Win rate | 48% | 36% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 69% |
| Both teams score | 36% | 59% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.0 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 16% | 33% |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Tampere United won 3, 1 draws, JJK won 1. Per match: 2.4 goals, 3.4 yellow cards.
- 11.08.2026: JJK 0:0 Tampere United
- 22.05.2026: Tampere United 1:0 JJK
- 19.10.2025: JJK 5:0 Tampere United
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Tampere United vs JJK?
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 32%.
Who is more likely to win Tampere United vs JJK?
Market line without margin: Tampere United 67%, draw 17%, JJK 16%.