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Omonia Aradippou vs Pafos: prediction and statistics
Cyprus · 1. Division · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Omonia Aradippou · Pafos
Before kick-off
1. Division, 21 November 2026: Omonia Aradippou are at home to Pafos. Omonia Aradippou go into the match 11th of 14 in the table, Pafos are 6th.
An uneven run for Omonia Aradippou: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Pafos have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Omonia Aradippou have 14 wins, 6 draws and 18 defeats in 38 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Pafos travel well: 23 wins, 9 draws and 9 defeats in 41 away matches, with 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head, Pafos have the upper hand: 4 wins in 4 meetings with Omonia Aradippou in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 12 January 2026, finished Pafos 2:0 Omonia Aradippou. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
Omonia Aradippou: last five matches — W-D-L-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Pafos: last five matches — W-L-D-D-L.
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Omonia Aradippou — 11, Pafos — 6 (of 14).
Home and away record
Omonia Aradippou at home and Pafos away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Omonia Aradippou | Pafos | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 38 | 41 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 14-6-18 | 23-9-9 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Omonia Aradippou won 0, 0 draws, Pafos won 4. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 12.01.2026: Pafos 2:0 Omonia Aradippou
- 21.09.2025: Omonia Aradippou 0:2 Pafos
- 08.02.2025: Omonia Aradippou 0:2 Pafos
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 47% of Omonia Aradippou’s home matches and 49% of Pafos’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Pafos: 4 wins in 4 meetings with Omonia Aradippou.
- Pafos is the more likely winner in our model: 65%, draw 21%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Omonia Aradippou 2.3, Pafos 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 49% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 51%, typical match 49%.
Result
Our model: Omonia Aradippou win 14%, draw 21%, Pafos win 65%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 45%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Omonia Aradippou | Pafos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 37% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 49% |
| Both teams score | 45% | 49% |
| Total corners per match | 7.3 | 9.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 14% | 43% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 51% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 6.5 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.