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Perez Zeledon vs Deportivo Saprissa: prediction and statistics
Costa Rica · Primera División · 22 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Perez Zeledon · Deportivo Saprissa
Before kick-off
Primera División, 22 November 2026: Perez Zeledon are at home to Deportivo Saprissa. Deportivo Saprissa sit 1st in the 10-team table while Perez Zeledon are 9th, so 8 places separate the two sides. Perez Zeledon are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
The last 5 games brought Perez Zeledon no victory — 1 draw and 4 defeats. Results have gone against Deportivo Saprissa recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games.
Perez Zeledon have not made their ground a fortress: 13 wins, 16 draws and 19 defeats in 48 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. The away record of Deportivo Saprissa: 22 wins, 10 draws and 24 defeats in 56 matches, with 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded on average.
Head to head, Deportivo Saprissa have the upper hand: 28 wins in 46 meetings with Perez Zeledon in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished Deportivo Saprissa 5:1 Perez Zeledon. On average these meetings produce 3.0 goals.
Form
Perez Zeledon: last five matches — L-L-L-L-D.
- 9 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Deportivo Saprissa: last five matches — L-L-D-L-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Perez Zeledon — 9, Deportivo Saprissa — 1 (of 10).
Home and away record
Perez Zeledon at home and Deportivo Saprissa away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Perez Zeledon | Deportivo Saprissa | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 56 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 13-16-19 | 22-10-24 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Head to head
46 meetings in our database: Perez Zeledon won 5, 13 draws, Deportivo Saprissa won 28. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 25.07.2026: Deportivo Saprissa 5:1 Perez Zeledon
- 05.04.2026: Deportivo Saprissa 4:0 Perez Zeledon
- 29.01.2026: Perez Zeledon 3:3 Deportivo Saprissa
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Deportivo Saprissa is the more likely winner in our model: 65%, draw 21%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 46% of Perez Zeledon’s home matches and 48% of Deportivo Saprissa’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Deportivo Saprissa: 28 wins in 46 meetings with Perez Zeledon.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.6 yellow cards: Perez Zeledon 2.8, Deportivo Saprissa 2.8; typical match of the competition — 5.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 66% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 66%, typical match 59%.
Result
Our model: Perez Zeledon win 14%, draw 21%, Deportivo Saprissa win 65%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 46%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Perez Zeledon | Deportivo Saprissa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 27% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 48% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 48% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.2 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 67% | 52% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.