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Puntarenas FC vs CS Herediano: prediction and statistics
Costa Rica · Primera División · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Puntarenas FC · CS Herediano
Before kick-off
Puntarenas FC host CS Herediano in Primera División on 21 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Puntarenas FC are 6th, CS Herediano 8th in a table of 10. CS Herediano are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
Puntarenas FC have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for CS Herediano: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 7 and 7.
The home record of Puntarenas FC (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 17 wins, 14 draws and 18 defeats in 49 matches, 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Away from home CS Herediano have 18 wins, 17 draws and 19 defeats in 54 matches, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Both samples are low on goals: 2.1 per game in home matches of Puntarenas FC and 2.0 in away matches of CS Herediano.
The 22 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Puntarenas FC 4, CS Herediano 12, draws 6. Last time out (24 July 2026) it ended CS Herediano 1:1 Puntarenas FC. On average these meetings produce 2.2 goals.
Form
Puntarenas FC: last five matches — L-W-D-W-L.
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
CS Herediano: last five matches — W-L-D-W-L.
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Puntarenas FC — 6, CS Herediano — 8 (of 10).
Home and away record
Puntarenas FC at home and CS Herediano away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Puntarenas FC | CS Herediano | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 49 | 54 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 17-14-18 | 18-17-19 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Head to head
22 meetings in our database: Puntarenas FC won 4, 6 draws, CS Herediano won 12. Per match: 2.2 goals.
- 24.07.2026: CS Herediano 1:1 Puntarenas FC
- 05.04.2026: Puntarenas FC 0:1 CS Herediano
- 11.02.2026: Puntarenas FC 3:0 CS Herediano
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 39% of Puntarenas FC home games and 28% of CS Herediano away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Puntarenas FC 37%, draw 29%, CS Herediano 34%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards: Puntarenas FC 2.5, CS Herediano 2.4; typical match of the competition — 5.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 56% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 73%, typical match 76%.
Result
Our model: Puntarenas FC win 37%, draw 29%, CS Herediano win 34%. Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 45%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Puntarenas FC | CS Herediano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 35% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 28% |
| Both teams score | 45% | 43% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 5.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 45% | 69% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.