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Pineto vs Pescara: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone B · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Before kick-off
Pineto host Pescara in Serie C – Girone B on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Pescara are 4th of 20, Pineto 12th — a gap of 8 places.
Pineto have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Few sides are in better shape than Pescara right now — 4 wins and 1 defeat from the last 5 games.
The home record of Pineto (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 21 wins, 14 draws and 10 defeats in 45 matches, 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. On the road Pescara are a dangerous side — 15 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats in 25 away matches, 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
History favours Pineto — 4 wins from 6 meetings with Pescara. Last time out (4 April 2025) it ended Pineto 1:0 Pescara. On average these meetings produce 1.3 goals.
Form
Pineto: last five matches — D-L-W-W-W.
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
- 3 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
Pescara: last five matches — L-W-W-W-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 wins in a row · away
Table: Pineto — 12, Pescara — 4 (of 20).
Home and away record
Pineto at home and Pescara away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Pineto | Pescara | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 25 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 21-14-10 | 15-3-7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Pineto won 4, 0 draws, Pescara won 2. Per match: 1.3 goals.
- 04.04.2025: Pineto 1:0 Pescara
- 25.11.2024: Pescara 0:1 Pineto
- 11.08.2024: Pescara 0:2 Pineto
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Pineto has won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Pescara.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 44% of Pineto home games and 60% of Pescara away games.
- Our model makes Pescara the favourite at 51%; a draw is 26%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Pineto 2.3, Pescara 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 69%, typical match 72%.
Result
Our model: Pineto win 22%, draw 26%, Pescara win 51%. Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 45%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Pineto | Pescara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 47% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 49% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.2 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 62% | 60% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.