Xpect
Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie B · 16 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.6 corners in the match: Ponte Preta 5.6, Atletico Goianiense 5.0. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 61% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 61%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Ponte Preta 2.5, Atletico Goianiense 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 53% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 71%, typical match 72%.
Form
Ponte Preta: last five matches — D-L-L-W-L.
- 10 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 6 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Atletico Goianiense: last five matches — W-D-L-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Ponte Preta — 20, Atletico Goianiense — 6 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Ponte Preta at home and Atletico Goianiense away, 2024–2026.
| Ponte Preta | Atletico Goianiense | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 35 |
| Win rate | 31% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 34% |
| Both teams score | 46% | 49% |
| Total corners per match | 10.1 | 10.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 69% | 71% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.2 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 66% | 51% |
Head to head
14 meetings in our database: Ponte Preta won 1, 4 draws, Atletico Goianiense won 9. Per match: 2.6 goals, 8.9 corners, 4.2 yellow cards.
- 28.06.2026: Atletico Goianiense 2:0 Ponte Preta
- 18.03.2026: Atletico Goianiense 1:0 Ponte Preta
- 15.10.2023: Ponte Preta 0:2 Atletico Goianiense
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our model expects 10.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 61%.
How many yellow cards in Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 53%.